COVID-19: Implications for the Commercial Aviation Industry

article | 02-Jun-20

COVID-19: Implications for the Commercial Aviation Industry

???????: Adam Cowburn, &nbspAdam Guthorn, &nbspBradley Dailey, &nbspJohn Mowry, &nbspJonathan Berger, &nbspKatya Bulatova, &nbspLaetitia Achille, &nbspLeah Ryan, &nbspMin Ma, &nbspYuichi Takayama

????:

NEW YORK – June 2, 2020: The ?New Normal? for the aviation industry is 18-24 months away and key players must prepare for an extended ?Covid overhang? period and a long, turbulent journey to recovery, according to Alton Aviation Consultancy.

The global aviation advisory firm today released its independent report ?Covid-19: Implications for the commercial aviation industry?, offering detailed insight into the ongoing crisis for the whole aviation industry. The comprehensive paper sets out a list of mitigating strategies and actions for airlines, aircraft lessors, MRO (Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul) providers, aerospace manufacturers, and airports to prioritize resources and manage risk.

Adam Cowburn, report author and managing director in Alton?s Hong Kong office, says:
?The surest way out of this crisis is for every player across the aviation value chain to work in tandem with governments and other stakeholders to put airlines back in the air and get revenues flowing again.

?While the fight against the virus continues with travel restrictions and quarantines to limit spread, we are cautiously optimistic that the immediate phase of deep crisis for the aviation industry may come to end in the not-too-distant future. Before settling in the New Normal, the industry will pass through an extended period we are calling the ?Covid overhang? ? certain aspects of life may return to varying degrees of normalcy, but the influence of Covid-19 will continue to loom large over the aviation industry. Businesses must not let unrelenting ambiguity get in the way of continuous mid- and long-term strategic planning.?

Jonathan Berger, report author and managing director in Alton?s New York office, adds:
?The current crisis is unlike anything the industry has seen before. Significant focus to date has been on the very visible impacts Covid-19 has had on airlines, but numerous other players in the value chain ? MROs, lessors, airports, manufacturers, and others ? are reeling from the impact of Covid-19 and need to chart a path out of the current crisis. The companies that emerge the strongest will ultimately be those that plan well and act decisively.?
Alton?s report sets out a playbook for navigating the turbulence caused by coronavirus, offering analysis of the impact across the entire aviation industry, and outlining opportunities available for growth and restructuring.

??????

Commercial Aviation Finance Review

At the 2022 Airline Economics New York conference, Alton?s Managing Director John Mowry kicked off the multi-day event with an initial review of the commercial aviation finance industry. Aircraft trading, equity markets, and debt financing dynamics were explored.

????????? | 26-Oct-22

Route to recovery: delayed

In a special white paper authored for the Airfinance Journal?s 2022-2023 Annual, Alton Aviation Consultancy looks at the state of commercial aviation and aircraft leasing, and the outlook for the year ahead. The aviation industry has cautiously turned a corner from the Covid-19 pandemic, with traffic rebounding as the world...

?? | 11-Oct-22

2022 MRO Industry Forecast & Market Trends

Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director Jonathan Berger was invited to speak at IATA?s 18th Annual Maintenance Cost Conference (MCC) in Geneva, Switzerland where he presented Alton?s proprietary 10-year global fleet & MRO forecast and shared his insights on the key aviation and MRO industry trends.

????????? | 07-Oct-22

Future of Air Hubs: Staying Relevant in a Changing World

Air hubs have traditionally been a key component of regional and intercontinental air travel due to the success of hub-and-spoke airline models. Such models aim to consolidate demand, maximize flight offerings, and thus more seamlessly connect city pairs between which direct flights may not be technically or commercially viable. Connecting...

?? | 25-Aug-22

, ,

Hydrogen Aircraft and Implications for Aviation Infrastructure

Alton?s white paper turns the spotlight on hydrogen aircraft and the significant implications for aviation infrastructure. In the report, Alton?s experts explore the following questions: What are the impacts of future energy source adoption? How will hydrogen aircraft operations affect infrastructure? What should stakeholders consider in the path to hydrogen...

?? | 25-May-22

, ,

The Rise of Advanced Air Mobility: Implications on MRO

In the fourth of its series of Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) white papers, Alton turns the spotlight on AAM ground infrastructure. In the report, Alton?s experts identify what MRO will look like for AAM vehicles, the anticipated role of the OEMs with respect to MRO, and likely key players.

????????? | 21-Apr-22

2022 MRO Latin America

Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director Jonathan Berger was invited to provide the opening keynote presentation at Aviation Week?s annual MRO Latin America conference where he shared his insights on the major aviation and MRO industry trends and their impact to the Latin American regional competitive dynamics.

????????? | 10-Feb-22

Aviation Industry & Macro-Economic Outlook

At Aviation Week?s Engine Leasing, Trading & Finance Americas (ELTF) conference, Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director John Mowry provided an assessment of the aviation industry and macroeconomic environment.

????????? | 26-Jan-22

The Rise of Advanced Air Mobility: Implications on Airports

In the third of its series of Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) white papers, Alton turns the spotlight on AAM ground infrastructure. In the report, Alton's experts identify some of the similarities and differences in ground infrastructure required to support conventional aircraft and eVTOLs, examine the role vertiports play in cities...

????????? | 20-Jan-22

, , , ,

The Rise of Advanced Air Mobility: Implications on Financing in the Aviation Sector

In the second of a series of Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) white papers, Alton focuses the spotlight on the aircraft finance industry. In commercial aviation, aircraft lessors own approximately 50% of all aircraft; yet we have not heretofore seen a similar level of interest in the AAM space. This white...

????????? | 01-Dec-21

, , , , , , ,

The Rise of Advanced Air Mobility

Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) has been a hot topic in the aviation industry. Significant investments have been made as technology, societal trends and ESG goals converge to make AAM a reality. While the aircraft technology may be revolutionary, incorporating AAM into our aviation ecosystem will be more of an evolutionary...

????????? | 15-Nov-21

2021 Post-Pandemic Fleet & MRO Demand Forecast

Alton Aviation Consultancy has recently updated its global commercial air transport fleet and MRO demand forecast to reflect the postpandemic industry trends and dynamics. As a leading independent advisor to the aviation industry, Alton?s annual MRO forecast has become globally recognized as the commercial transaction advisory community?s most trusted data...

????????? | 01-Nov-21

Low Visibility and Persistent Turbulence: The State of Commercial Aviation and Aircraft Leasing

Low Visibility and Persistent Turbulence. The situation in the commercial aviation industry has continued to evolve with the ever-changing Covid-19 pandemic that has dominated life since early 2020. As of the writing of this report in late August 2021, it has become clear that historical trends have limited applicability...

?? | 01-Oct-21

Introduction to Aircraft and Engine Asset-Backed Securitizations (ABS)

At a recent ISTAT Learning Lab session, Alton Aviation Consultancy managing director John Mowry, alongside Evan Wallach, President & CEO of Global AirFinance Services presented an introduction to aircraft and engine asset backed securitizations (ABS). The session was designed for those seeking a foundational understanding of the aircraft and engine...

????????? | 14-Sep-21

, ,

Line Maintenance Sourcing Strategies in the Age of E-Commerce

In a recently published a white paper entitled, Line Maintenance Sourcing Strategies in the Age of e-Commerce, Alton?s MRO Practice explores how the exponential growth of e-commerce, and the increased market power of industry behemoths such as Amazon and Alibaba, will further disrupt traditional air cargo operators? business models, and...

?? | 23-Apr-21

COVID-19: Implications for Lessors

NEW YORK - December 14, 2020: Commercial aviation continues to feel the impact of the coronavirus pandemic, with scheduled flights down 46% in the second week of December 2020. At the same time, 38% of the global lessor-owned passenger fleet is currently grounded, and the sharp decline in airline revenues...

?? | 14-Dec-20

2020 MRO Transatlantic

Alton Managing Director and global MRO advisory practice lead Jonathan Berger was invited to present at the world?s premiere MRO virtual conference ? Aviation Week?s MRO Transatlantic. In conjunction with Kevin Michaels of AeroDynamic Advisory, Jonathan discussed the short- and long-term outlook for MRO demand, post COVID-19 pandemic market trends...

????????? | 29-Oct-20

Flying Unfriendly Skies: Alton Aviation Consultancy Looks at the State of Commercial Aviation and Aircraft Leasing

Flying unfriendly skies. The performance of the commercial aviation industry has historically been tied to the world?s macroeconomic environment. However, 2020, in the grip of a global pandemic, has demonstrated that economic activity alone is but one driver of air traffic demand and that historical trends have limited applicability to...

?? | 05-Oct-20

Asia-Pacific Airline Recovery From Coronavirus May Be Slower Than for SARS, Says Alton

Changi Exhibition Centre, Singapore, February 11, 2020: The ability of Asia-Pacific airlines to recover from the disruption of the Coronavirus pandemic may be more challenging when compared to previous epidemics, owing to lower growth rates in the regional economies, says Alton Aviation Consultancy at the Singapore Airshow 2020. Coronavirus...

?? | 12-Feb-20

2020 MRO Latin America

MRO Latin America is the premier event in the region for the commercial air transport maintenance, repair and overhaul industry, providing a world-class venue for all those involved in the MRO sector to exchange ideas and best practices, share experiences, debate issues and challenges and gather knowledge. Alton Aviation...

????????? | 24-Jan-20