Aviation Outlook 2025 - Supply Chain Challenged

article | 03-Mar-25

Aviation Outlook 2025 – Supply Chain Challenged

Alton Team: Alan Lim, Joshua Ng, Mabel Kwan

Market: Airports, MRO & Aftermarket, Aerospace, Airlines

Expectations are high for the aviation industry in 2025, with IATA projecting passenger numbers to exceed five billion in 2025 and total industry revenues expected to break the US$1T mark for the first time in history.
However, airlines continue to see their near-term capacity expansion plans being held back by delivery delays and long maintenance turnarounds, while also grappling with labour shortages like the rest of the aviation industry.
This paper discusses the outlook for the aviation industry in 2025, and dives into the challenges that the industry is facing.

Download

Technology & Mobility, Airports, MRO & Aftermarket, Aerospace, Airlines, Business & General Aviation

Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Aviation

The aviation sector, like many other industries, is increasingly turning to AI to improve operational efficiency, manage rising workloads, and enhance customer experience. While AI is purported to revolutionize the industry, there remain technical and regulatory hurdles yet to be overcome. More incremental and narrow AI applications for scheduling and...

Article | 12-May-25

MRO & Aftermarket

Steady Growth: 2025 – 2035 MRO Demand Forecast

While the industry continues its recovery path and air traffic is almost back to pre-pandemic levels, it continues to grapple with supply chain disruptions and workforce shortages – the MRO sector has also not been spared from these issues. Alton has recently updated its global commercial air transport fleet and...

Article | 04-Apr-25

Technology & Mobility, Airports, Aerospace, Airlines

2024 – 2034 Commercial Aircraft Fleet Forecast

As global air traffic demand exceeds pre-pandemic levels in 2024, airlines are turning their attention to fleet expansion, according to a new report from Alton Aviation Consultancy. Despite record profits, operators need to consider short- and long-term strategies to overcome production issues and secure additional capacity. The global aviation advisory...

Article | 23-Sep-24

Technology & Mobility, Airports, MRO & Aftermarket, Aerospace, Aircraft Leasing & Financing, Airlines

Japan’s Aviation Industry in the Post-COVID Era (Japanese)

Alton Aviation Consultancy's latest paper provides a comprehensive analysis of Japan's aviation market, one of the largest in the APAC region. The report highlights the strength of Japan's airlines, airports, and OEMs, alongside the critical role of Japanese-owned global lessors and Tier-1 aerospace suppliers. Additionally, it explores Japan's strategic...

Article | 29-Aug-24

Technology & Mobility, Airports, MRO & Aftermarket, Aerospace, Aircraft Leasing & Financing, Airlines

Japan’s Aviation Industry in the Post-COVID Era (English)

Article | 28-Aug-24

Airports, MRO & Aftermarket, Aerospace, Airlines

The Current Landscape of Singapore’s Aviation Market

Post-COVID Recovery of the Local Aviation Market The local airline industry in Singapore has experienced a robust post-pandemic recovery, driven primarily by a surge in travel demand as Singapore swiftly reopened its borders, but also by the ability of Singapore Airlines to rapidly ramp up its network. Singapore Airlines and...

Article | 24-Jul-24

Technology & Mobility, Airports, MRO & Aftermarket, Aerospace, Aircraft Leasing & Financing, Airlines

Asia Pacific’s Flight Path: Seizing Opportunities in an Evolving Landscape

The Asia Pacific (APAC) region has long been a cornerstone of the global aviation sector, significantly contributing to aviation growth over the past few decades. While the region’s cautious approach to re-opening and economic slowdown following the pandemic have led to a slower recovery than other parts of the world,...

Article | 19-Feb-24

MRO & Aftermarket

2023-2033 Global MRO Demand Forecast

Global maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) spend will grow 2.2% annually over the next 10 years, from $112bn to $138bn, in response to faster than expected traffic recovery and fewer retirements, according to a new report from Alton Aviation Consultancy. The global aviation advisory firm's independent annual Global MRO...

Article | 25-Sep-23

Technology & Mobility, Airports, MRO & Aftermarket, Aerospace, Aircraft Leasing & Financing, Transaction Advisory, Airlines

2023-2033 Commercial Aircraft and Engine Fleet Forecast

Over the next 10 years, the worldwide commercial aircraft fleet will grow 3.3% annually from 29,000 to 42,000, notwithstanding the ongoing geopolitical and supply chain challenges impacting Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEM) production rates, according to Alton Aviation Consultancy. The global aviation advisory firm's independent 2023-2033 Commercial Aircraft and Engine Fleet...

Article | 16-Jun-23

Technology & Mobility, Airlines

The Connected Cabin

Two decades have passed since the introduction of inflight WiFi onboard. Since then, there has been significant developments in cabin connectivity technology, not only to meet the growing demand from passengers to stay connected but also from airlines and operators alike. This paper focuses on the current trends in cabin...

Article | 01-Jun-23

Technology & Mobility, Airports, MRO & Aftermarket, Aerospace, Aircraft Leasing & Financing, Transaction Advisory, Airlines, Business & General Aviation

Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) Entry-Into-Services: Key Milestones Ahead

Key Milestones Ahead With over $8 billion raised by major AAM Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and 12,000 orders placed by customers spanning the globe, the AAM industry continues to advance and shape the future of aviation. Despite nil industry revenue recognized to date, significant progress towards commercialization has been made:...

Article | 20-Apr-23

MRO & Aftermarket

Q1 2023 MRO Forecast & Industry Trends,

Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director Jonathan Berger was invited to provide the opening keynote presentation at Aviation Week’s annual MRO Latin America conference in Buenos Aires, Argentina where he shared his insights on the major aviation and MRO industry trends and their impact to the Latin American regional competitive dynamics.

Presentation | 23-Feb-23

MRO & Aftermarket, Aerospace, Aircraft Leasing & Financing, Transaction Advisory, Airlines

Macroeconomic Assessment and Outlook, Q1 2023

Alton Managing Director John Mowry delivered a macroeconomic assessment and outlook at Aviation Week Network’s Engine Leasing, Trading & Finance Americas conference in Dallas on February 7, 2023. John shared his insights on the economic direction of the Americas, considering key factors driving the engines market including GDP, air...

Presentation | 07-Feb-23

Airports, Airlines

Sustainable Efficiency: The Future of Ground Operations at LCC Hubs

The low-cost carrier (LCC) business model has been evolving, including prior to the pandemic. Driven to facilitate connectivity and capture a slice of alternative higher-yielding segments, many LCCs have pivoted operations at their hub airports to enable this new direction. Ground Handling Agents (GHAs) have had to adapt to such...

Article | 13-Jan-23

MRO & Aftermarket

2022 MRO Industry Forecast & Market Trends

Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director Jonathan Berger was invited to speak at IATA’s 18th Annual Maintenance Cost Conference (MCC) in Geneva, Switzerland where he presented Alton’s proprietary 10-year global fleet & MRO forecast and shared his insights on the key aviation and MRO industry trends.

Presentation | 07-Oct-22

Airports, Airlines

Future of Air Hubs: Staying Relevant in a Changing World

Air hubs have traditionally been a key component of regional and intercontinental air travel due to the success of hub-and-spoke airline models. Such models aim to consolidate demand, maximize flight offerings, and thus more seamlessly connect city pairs between which direct flights may not be technically or commercially viable. Connecting...

Article | 25-Aug-22

Technology & Mobility, Airports, Aerospace, Aircraft Leasing & Financing

Hydrogen Aircraft and Implications for Aviation Infrastructure

Alton’s white paper turns the spotlight on hydrogen aircraft and the significant implications for aviation infrastructure. In the report, Alton’s experts explore the following questions: What are the impacts of future energy source adoption? How will hydrogen aircraft operations affect infrastructure? What should stakeholders consider in the path to hydrogen...

Article | 25-May-22

Technology & Mobility, MRO & Aftermarket, Aerospace, Business & General Aviation

The Rise of Advanced Air Mobility: Implications on MRO

In the fourth of its series of Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) white papers, Alton turns the spotlight on AAM ground infrastructure. In the report, Alton’s experts identify what MRO will look like for AAM vehicles, the anticipated role of the OEMs with respect to MRO, and likely key players.

Presentation | 21-Apr-22

MRO & Aftermarket

2022 MRO Latin America

Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director Jonathan Berger was invited to provide the opening keynote presentation at Aviation Week’s annual MRO Latin America conference where he shared his insights on the major aviation and MRO industry trends and their impact to the Latin American regional competitive dynamics.

Presentation | 10-Feb-22

MRO & Aftermarket, Aircraft Leasing & Financing

Aviation Industry & Macro-Economic Outlook

At Aviation Week’s Engine Leasing, Trading & Finance Americas (ELTF) conference, Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director John Mowry provided an assessment of the aviation industry and macroeconomic environment.

Presentation | 26-Jan-22