2021 Post-Pandemic Fleet & MRO Demand Forecast
Alton Team: Adam Guthorn,  Jonathan Berger
Market: MRO & Aftermarket, Aerospace
Alton Aviation Consultancy has recently updated its global commercial air transport fleet and MRO demand forecast to reflect the postpandemic industry trends and dynamics. As a leading independent advisor to the aviation industry, Alton’s annual MRO forecast has become globally recognized as the commercial transaction advisory community’s most trusted data source.
Alton’s proprietary fleet and MRO demand forecast algorithms consist of numerous assumptions and projections to include passenger demand, aircraft retirements, used serviceable material (USM), engine shop visits and green-time usage, cabin upgrades and modifications, passenger-to-freighter (P2F) conversion, and annual OEM catalogue price escalation adjustments, amongst others.
Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) Entry-Into-Services: Key Milestones Ahead
With over $8 billion raised by major AAM Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and 12,000 orders placed by customers spanning the globe, the AAM industry continues to advance and shape the future of aviation. Despite nil industry revenue recognized to date, significant progress towards commercialization has been made: OEMs have designed...
Article | 20-Apr-23
Q1 2023 MRO Forecast & Industry Trends,
Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director Jonathan Berger was invited to provide the opening keynote presentation at Aviation Week’s annual MRO Latin America conference in Buenos Aires, Argentina where he shared his insights on the major aviation and MRO industry trends and their impact to the Latin American regional competitive dynamics.
Presentation | 23-Feb-23
Macroeconomic Assessment and Outlook, Q1 2023
Alton Managing Director John Mowry delivered a macroeconomic assessment and outlook at Aviation Week Network’s Engine Leasing, Trading & Finance Americas conference in Dallas on February 7, 2023. John shared his insights on the economic direction of the Americas, considering key factors driving the engines market including GDP, air...
Presentation | 07-Feb-23
2022 MRO Industry Forecast & Market Trends
Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director Jonathan Berger was invited to speak at IATA’s 18th Annual Maintenance Cost Conference (MCC) in Geneva, Switzerland where he presented Alton’s proprietary 10-year global fleet & MRO forecast and shared his insights on the key aviation and MRO industry trends.
Presentation | 07-Oct-22
Hydrogen Aircraft and Implications for Aviation Infrastructure
Alton’s white paper turns the spotlight on hydrogen aircraft and the significant implications for aviation infrastructure. In the report, Alton’s experts explore the following questions: What are the impacts of future energy source adoption? How will hydrogen aircraft operations affect infrastructure? What should stakeholders consider in the path to hydrogen...
Article | 25-May-22
The Rise of Advanced Air Mobility: Implications on MRO
In the fourth of its series of Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) white papers, Alton turns the spotlight on AAM ground infrastructure. In the report, Alton’s experts identify what MRO will look like for AAM vehicles, the anticipated role of the OEMs with respect to MRO, and likely key players.
Presentation | 21-Apr-22
2022 MRO Latin America
Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director Jonathan Berger was invited to provide the opening keynote presentation at Aviation Week’s annual MRO Latin America conference where he shared his insights on the major aviation and MRO industry trends and their impact to the Latin American regional competitive dynamics.
Presentation | 10-Feb-22
Aviation Industry & Macro-Economic Outlook
At Aviation Week’s Engine Leasing, Trading & Finance Americas (ELTF) conference, Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director John Mowry provided an assessment of the aviation industry and macroeconomic environment.
Presentation | 26-Jan-22
The Rise of Advanced Air Mobility: Implications on Financing in the Aviation Sector
In the second of a series of Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) white papers, Alton focuses the spotlight on the aircraft finance industry. In commercial aviation, aircraft lessors own approximately 50% of all aircraft; yet we have not heretofore seen a similar level of interest in the AAM space. This white...
Presentation | 01-Dec-21
The Rise of Advanced Air Mobility
Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) has been a hot topic in the aviation industry. Significant investments have been made as technology, societal trends and ESG goals converge to make AAM a reality. While the aircraft technology may be revolutionary, incorporating AAM into our aviation ecosystem will be more of an evolutionary...
Presentation | 15-Nov-21
Line Maintenance Sourcing Strategies in the Age of E-Commerce
In a recently published a white paper entitled, Line Maintenance Sourcing Strategies in the Age of e-Commerce, Alton’s MRO Practice explores how the exponential growth of e-commerce, and the increased market power of industry behemoths such as Amazon and Alibaba, will further disrupt traditional air cargo operators’ business models, and...
Article | 23-Apr-21
2020 MRO Transatlantic
Alton Managing Director and global MRO advisory practice lead Jonathan Berger was invited to present at the world’s premiere MRO virtual conference – Aviation Week’s MRO Transatlantic. In conjunction with Kevin Michaels of AeroDynamic Advisory, Jonathan discussed the short- and long-term outlook for MRO demand, post COVID-19 pandemic market trends...
Presentation | 29-Oct-20
COVID-19: Implications for the Commercial Aviation Industry
NEW YORK - June 2, 2020: The ‘New Normal’ for the aviation industry is 18-24 months away and key players must prepare for an extended ‘Covid overhang’ period and a long, turbulent journey to recovery, according to Alton Aviation Consultancy. The global aviation advisory firm today released its independent...
Article | 02-Jun-20
2020 MRO Latin America
MRO Latin America is the premier event in the region for the commercial air transport maintenance, repair and overhaul industry, providing a world-class venue for all those involved in the MRO sector to exchange ideas and best practices, share experiences, debate issues and challenges and gather knowledge. Alton Aviation...
Presentation | 24-Jan-20
Alton Aviation Consultancy’s Industry Altimeter 2019-2020
Clear skies ahead? In a special white paper authored for the Airfinance Journal’s 2019-2020 Annual, Alton Aviation Consultancy looks at the state of commercial aviation and aircraft leasing, and the outlook for the year ahead. The paper explores air traffic demand trends and drivers, aircraft supply outlook including new technology...
Article | 15-Dec-19
MRO Forecast & Industry Trends
Jonathan Berger, Managing Director with Alton Aviation Consultancy, recently presented an assessment of the current MRO market and industry trends, together with an outlook for the industry. The Global Aircraft Maintenance Forum, held in Amman, Jordan, is a highly interactive conference that features presentations from and discussions with relevant...
Presentation | 03-Nov-19
2019 MRO Industry Trends: Asia-Pacific
At the MRO Asia conference held in Singapore, an annual conference hosted by Aviation Week Network, Alton Aviation Consultancy Regional Manager Joshua Ng led a session regarding commercial aviation MRO trends. The presentation included data-driven analysis with regards to global aircraft MRO demand and key drivers of growth, in addition...
Presentation | 24-Sep-19
2019 Latin America MRO Industry Trends
Jonathan Berger, Managing Director at Alton Aviation Consultancy, was invited to provide the industry forecast and market trends speech at the annual MRO Latin America conference, the premier event in the region, on January 16, 2019 in Cancun, Mexico. The presentation included data-driven analysis with regards to industry trends impacting...
Presentation | 17-Jan-19
2019 Engine MRO Forecast & Industry Trends
Alton Aviation Consultancy Managing Director Jonathan Berger was invited by Aviation Week to provide the keynote presentation at the annual MRO Asia Aero-Engine conference. The presentation included data-driven analysis with regards to global engine MRO demand and key drivers of growth, in addition to highlighting industry trends specific to the...
Presentation | 07-Nov-18
Commercial Aero-Engine Market Update & Analysis
Alton Aviation Consultancy Director, Adam Guthorn, presented an engine fleet forecast and an overview of the engine leasing market at the Engine Leasing, Trading & Finance conference in London on May 2-3, 2018. Adam also chaired the OEM New Progam Update panel, leading discussions on the latest news affecting engine...
Presentation | 03-May-18